This is my favorite online post in newsgroups, message boards, forums, blogs, etc. The simple announcement triggered incredible reactions! It was a bona fide introduction of a great and free Internet, online calculator for odds, probability applicable to most lottery games, horse-racing, even casino gambling (roulette).
The googoos in rec.gambling.lottery newsgroup reacted more virulently than usual. Usually, everything I was publishing in that forum triggered adverse reaction.
Ultimately, more often than not, individuals of this type have their own gambling or lottery systems albeit they fight the validity of such systems publicly! Their main concern is to keep the attention away from Ion Saliu's creations.
What a curious disease jealousy is when etched on a bloated ego and seeded in a deep complex of inferiority! It is a pathetic mixture of hypocrisy and schizophrenia!
Robert Perkis (a.k.a. BobP, Kotkoduck, or Lotto-Logix), the founder of the lottery-gambling newsgroup, was an enthusiast of lottery strategies, systems, lotto wheels, lottery software, etc. I came along, and Kotkoduck, along with just about everybody in that community (including Kokostirk, a.k.a. Joe Roberts of ldir lotto wheeling software fame), made an about-face! They even jumped at the throats of those who mentioned winning lottery systems or software!
But secretly, Robert Perkis and Kokostirk (and many others) maintained their own websites with a heap of lottery systems and software! Hypocrisy or schizophrenia? I say, BOTH! Robert Perkis, for example, will show up in search engines with: The only way to win Pick-3. It takes skill and determination, but it works. If you want to win at Pick-3 this is how to go about it.
The system is pure mockery meant to cheat the search engines. It talks about patterns but doesn't tell what the winning patterns are! In truth, it attempts piracy of my lottery system based on skips. Also, BobP, Kotkoduck, or Lotto-Logix pirated a lotto wheel I created and touts it in public forums as "the best lotto wheel ever". Of course, Lotto Logix never mentions Ion Saliu or Parpaluck as the true creator of the very popular lottery system. Instead, BobP wants to convey the impression that he created the magnificent 12-number lotto wheel in 6 lines!
Several other googoos have always attempted to pirate my systems but they haven't had the programming skills and creativity juice to write proper lottery software! In the early 2000s, the googoos put enormous pressure on me in attempts to get the source code of my lottery software. Their pretext was this: My systems cannot be trusted unless I reveal the algorithms and the source code of my software! Really? Who would be that stupid?!
"I received a phone call
From one who claimed was tall.
Then, he cursed me even worse
For my gambling on the horse."
Newsgroups: alt.sci.math.combinatorics, alt.sci.math.probability, alt.sci.math.statistics.prediction, rec.gambling.lottery
From: Ion Saliu
Date: 4 Jun 2003
Subject: Internet Odds, Probability Calculator -
Online Odds, Probability Calculator: Lotto, Powerball, Lottery,
Horse Races, Roulette, Sports Betting, Soccer Pools 1X2.
This is it: The best online odds calculator that ever was!
IonOddsCalculator, version 5.0, June 2003 (3 WE).
The best online odds calculator covers a lot of territory: pick games,
lotto, Keno, Powerball, horse racing, sports betting, soccer pools,
roulette.
The odds are calculated in one step as: - exactly; and - at least.
For example, a lotto game will require 3 parameters:
- the biggest number in the game (eg 49)
- numbers per combination (eg 6)
- pool size (eg play an 18-number system).
The odds calculated as EXACTLY in a lotto game '6/49':
- 0 of 6 in 18 from 49 = 1 in 18.99
- 1 of 6 in 18 from 49 = 1 in 4.57
- 2 of 6 in 18 from 49 = 1 in 2.9
- 3 of 6 in 18 from 49 = 1 in 3.81
- 4 of 6 in 18 from 49 = 1 in 9.83
- 5 of 6 in 18 from 49 = 1 in 52.65
- 6 of 6 in 18 from 49 = 1 in 753.28
The odds calculated as AT LEAST in a lotto game '6/49':
- 0 of 6 in 18 from 49 = 1 in 1
- 1 of 6 in 18 from 49 = 1 in 1.06
- 2 of 6 in 18 from 49 = 1 in 1.37
- 3 of 6 in 18 from 49 = 1 in 2.6
- 4 of 6 in 18 from 49 = 1 in 8.19
- 5 of 6 in 18 from 49 = 1 in 49.21
- 6 of 6 in 18 from 49 = 1 in 753.28
If pool size is set to numbers per combination (e.g. 6), the results will reflect the commonly used probabilities.
The odds calculated as EXACTLY in a lotto game '6/49':
- 0 of 6 in 6 from 49 = 1 in 2.29
- 1 of 6 in 6 from 49 = 1 in 2.42
- 2 of 6 in 6 from 49 = 1 in 7.55
- 3 of 6 in 6 from 49 = 1 in 56.66
- 4 of 6 in 6 from 49 = 1 in 1032.4
- 5 of 6 in 6 from 49 = 1 in 54200.84
- 6 of 6 in 6 from 49 = 1 in 13983816
The odds calculated as AT LEAST in a lotto game '6/49':
- 0 of 6 in 6 from 49 = 1 in 1
- 1 of 6 in 6 from 49 = 1 in 1.77
- 2 of 6 in 6 from 49 = 1 in 6.62
- 3 of 6 in 6 from 49 = 1 in 53.66
- 4 of 6 in 6 from 49 = 1 in 1013.03
- 5 of 6 in 6 from 49 = 1 in 53991.57
- 6 of 6 in 6 from 49 = 1 in 13983816
The probabilities (odds) for Keno games are calculated by the same function as lotto, using three parameters. For example: 80, 20, 20.
The probability calculated for the pick-3 game.
The pick-3 game draws 3 digits from 0 to 9; e.g. 090.
The odds of the pick-3 game are:
- straight pick: 1 in 1000;
- boxed: 1 in 220;
- front/back pair: 1 in 100.
The probability calculated for the pick-4 game.
The pick-4 game draws 4 digits from 0 to 9; e.g. 0903.
The odds of the pick-4 game are:
- straight pick: 1 in 10,000;
- boxed: 1 in 715;
- front/back 3-digits: 1 in 1000.
The odds calculated as EXACTLY in a Powerball, Mega Millions game '53/5/42':
- 0 of 5 in 5 from 53 plus the Powerball = 1 in 70.39
- 1 of 5 in 5 from 53 plus the Powerball = 1 in 123.88
- 2 of 5 in 5 from 53 plus the Powerball = 1 in 696.85
- 3 of 5 in 5 from 53 plus the Powerball = 1 in 10685
- 4 of 5 in 5 from 53 plus the Powerball = 1 in 502194.88
- 5 of 5 in 5 from 53 plus the Powerball = 1 in 120526770
The odds calculated as AT LEAST in a Powerball game '53/5/42':
- 0 of 5 in 5 from 53 plus the Powerball = 1 in 42
- 1 of 5 in 5 from 53 plus the Powerball = 1 in 104.14
- 2 of 5 in 5 from 53 plus the Powerball = 1 in 653.33
- 3 of 5 in 5 from 53 plus the Powerball = 1 in 10461.49
- 4 of 5 in 5 from 53 plus the Powerball = 1 in 500111.08
- 5 of 5 in 5 from 53 plus the Powerball = 1 in 120526770
To calculate the odds without the Powerball: use lotto odds for 5 in 5 from 53
The odds calculated for horse races.
The odds in horseracing, 8 horses in the race:
- to win probability (top 1) = 1 in 8
- exacta probability (top 2) = 1 in 56
- trifecta probability (top 3) = 1 in 336
- superfecta probability (top 4) = 1 in 1680
- quinfecta probability (top 5) = 1 in 6720
The probability calculated for single zero and double zero roulette tables.
Various odds at 0 and 00 roulette
Type of Bet Single 0 Double 0
- straight-up (1 number): 1 in 37 1 in 38
- split (2 numbers): 1 in 18.5 1 in 19
- street (3 numbers): 1 in 12.3 1 in 12.7
- corner (4 numbers): 1 in 9.25 1 in 9.5
- fiveline (5 numbers): 1 in 7.4 1 in 7.6
- sixline (6 numbers): 1 in 6.2 1 in 6.3
- column (12 numbers): 1 in 3.1 1 in 3.2
- dozen (12 numbers): 1 in 3.1 1 in 3.2
- black/red (18 numbers): 1 in 2.06 1 in 2.11
- even/odd (18 numbers): 1 in 2.06 1 in 2.11
- low/high (18 numbers): 1 in 2.06 1 in 2.11
The odds calculated for American sports betting; i.e. betting on one team in each game. The AT LEAST odds in American sports betting, 5 games:
- parlay probability 0 of 5 = 1 in 1
- parlay probability 1 of 5 = 1 in 2
- parlay probability 2 of 5 = 1 in 4
- parlay probability 3 of 5 = 1 in 8
- parlay probability 4 of 5 = 1 in 16
- parlay probability 5 of 5 = 1 in 32
The odds calculated for soccer pools 1X2; i.e. one of three possible outcomes in each game; 1 = win for home team; 2= win for visiting team; X = tie (draw).
The AT LEAST odds in soccer pools 1X2 for 13 games:
- 0 of 13 = 1 in 1
- 1 of 13 = 1 in 3
- 2 of 13 = 1 in 9
- 3 of 13 = 1 in 27
- 4 of 13 = 1 in 81
- 5 of 13 = 1 in 243
- 6 of 13 = 1 in 729
- 7 of 13 = 1 in 2187
- 8 of 13 = 1 in 6561
- 9 of 13 = 1 in 19683
- 10 of 13 = 1 in 59049
- 11 of 13 = 1 in 177147
- 12 of 13 = 1 in 531441
- 13 of 13 = 1 in 1594323
The following functions are also present in the online number, combination generator: IonSaliuGenerator.
- calculate the binomial standard deviation;
- calculate the fundamental formula of gambling: number of trials necessary for an event of individual probability p to appear with the degree of certainty DC;
- open a file in the rich text box;
- edit a file in the rich text box; or, edit the content created by an odds calculating function;
- save the file in the rich text box; or, save the content created by an odds calculating function;
- print a file in the rich text box; or, print to the default printer the content created by an odds calculating function;
- change the font of a file in the rich text box; select the contents of rich text box, then click the Font button.
IonOddsCalc is an ActiveX control. It requires Microsoft Internet Explorer version 4 or later. Google Chrome also offers free extensions to mimic Internet Explorer (IE Tab) and thus run ActiveX controls. Make sure your browser settings allow for running ActiveX controls. You might need to add SALIU.COM to your list of trusted Internet sites one of the safest sites in cyber world.
You need enable your browser to accept downloading and running ActiveX controls. Like all my software, IonOddsCalc ActiveX control is guaranteed to be safe. There have been no reports of security problems related to my software.
Click here if you want to run IonOddsCalc online ActiveX control. It is the best online odds, probability calculator that ever was!
Click here if you want to run also IonSaliuGen online ActiveX control. It is the best random number, lottery combination generator that ever was!
Copyright © MMIII, Ion Saliu. All rights reserved worldwide.
gARY gARbYge
From: "gARY"
Subject: Re: Super online odds lotto calculator
Another 'kin' waste of bandwidth I feel!
gARY
Affordable lotto wheeling
Andrew G
Subject: Re: Internet probability calculator
Hardly a waste of bandwidth. If you want to talk about bandwidth waste then anything written on wheeling 3 in god-knows-what in whatever is bandwidth pollution. Their bank balances will reflect this in the negative. The latest calculator gives you invaluable information.
For example if I pick a pool of 12 numbers out of 49 my odds of getting it right are approximately 1 in 15 000. Every time Saliu posts here the castle drawbridge is raised and archers are stationed on the battlements to repel the invader. Just what is it you people fear from Ion Saliu?
gARY
Jun 5 2003, 7:36 am
The problem Andrew, Every time Ion posts some information for me (us) to feast our brain, we always without fail find error in the said work.
Not once have I learnt even a snippet of information from Ion and to be honest have tried (with others) to point out exactly where the error occurs, he simply does not seem to 'take it in' and argues a point *not* mentioned or changes the subject.
Now clearly, one day he may come up with something worthwhile, but we aren't listening anymore.
CDEX Kokostirk
Andrew,
I'll reply as objectively as possible, and hope you'll see it that way.
"Andrew G" wrote:
Hardly a waste of bandwidth. If you want to talk about bandwidth waste then anything written on wheeling 3 in godknowswhat in whatever is bandwidth pollution. Their bank balances will reflect this in the negative.
If 'wheeling 3 in god-knows-what' is an example of wasted bandwidth - then two of the most egregious such examples seen in this forum have been:
... the 416-line wheel, wheeling '3 in 6' with its claim of '3 times as many 5-winners' as any other set of 416 lines, in any lottery game, worldwide.
... the 307-line wheel, wheeling '3 in 6' with its 'benchmark' of '3.7 wins' (expectation is 3.84), but containing a 9-to-1 disparity in prize matching.
The issue is not mainly the technical content of those wheels, although they are, very objectively and frankly by modern covering standards, mediocre. There are better ways for the player to wheel his £416 or £307 against the chance of some '3 in 6' wins, if he were so inclined.
The issue arises from the way those '3 in 6' wheels have been presented by their author.
Those are the elements of the issue in this RGL forum. There's a related issue as well. Here in this forum, unsubstantiated claims are shown to be false, using extensive test data that is publicly presented here. Therefore this forum shows the full picture. However in other forums, the author maintains the same unsubstantiated claims, without reference to their refutation in RGL.
Here is why those things are an issue in this RGL forum.
This is a Usenet forum and it has standards for ethical posting. There is also this RGL forum's FAQ which explicitly specifies that authors who present material here are expected to substantiate it. Finally, this is also a lottery players resource and needs to be respected by all of us as such. That applies both to the usefulness of the technical content and to its accessibility in message threads -- i.e., if it's a wheeling topic, then stay on-topic, develop dialogue, and don't do diversions and name-calling.
Every one of us has our responsibility to try to stick to those standards. Otherwise this place would be a zoo.
The latest calculator gives you invaluable information. For example, if I pick a pool of 12 numbers out of 49 my odds of getting it right are approximately 1 in 15 000.
That's right. Of course your odds go down, and your costs go up, proportionately.
Every time Saliu posts here the castle drawbridge is raised and archers are stationed on the battlements to repel the invader. Just what is it you people fear from Saliu?
It's not "you people". It's a public place where technical content and human decency need to be kept in mind.
If you're unconvinced by any of the above, check the archives in Google Groups. Check rec.gambling.lottery as well as other related groups. Check some message threads. Start at their very beginning, work your way down through them, and see where objectivity falls apart.
I assure you, there is no 'fear'. If a claim is made, it will be evaluated with data. If personal insults come back in lieu of a data dialogue, those insults will be met head-on with more data.
I hope this is reasonable. Feel free to discuss it, by E-mail if you like, or publicly here if it's OK with others.
Best regards,
Joe Roberts Kokostirk
CDEX
But, Joe, CDEX, ldirector, Kokostirk, if I may... where are the lotto wheels you talking about? Ion Saliu posted about a great online odds calculator for all lottery games! It is the best calculator there is... looks like it struck your jealousy terribly...
gARY gARBYGE
Every time Saliu posts here the castle drawbridge is raised and archers are stationed on the battlements to repel the invader. Just what is it you people fear from Ion Saliu?
Nothing, you don't think his bank balances reflects his genius do you? The problem is his calculator was giving wrong results for years and he couldn't or wouldn't fix it. On the other hand the correct results were free on the Lotto Genie site for years, did he send you there?
There are two sets of odds for every amount of numbers you might choose to wheel. The odds of having any number of winning numbers, and the odds of winning the prizes when you do have winning numbers among those you are wheeling. As one goes up the other goes down and vice versa. Yes, when you wheel 12 numbers the odds drop from 1 in 13.9 million to 1 in 15,000 all six winning numbers will be among your 12, you can do this with only two tickets!!! Think it over again. Robert Perkis
Lotto Genie site has NEVER had anything like Ion's probability calculator for every lotto game, not only 649! That site has NOTHING at all!
Gerry Jerkow (a.k.a. Psychosama)
Subject: Re: Internet odds calculator for lotto, lotteries, horseracing
Every time Saliu posts here the castle drawbridge is raised and archers are stationed on the battlements to repel the invader. Just what is it you people fear from Ion Saliu?
I have no fear of Ion Saliu. What's to fear?
Ion chose to be the invader years ago when he came here from nowhere and attacked Robert Perkis (Wheely Kotkoduck) with no provocation. RGL didn't create the monster.
When Joe Roberts (Wheeling-Tax Kokostirk) and I challenged his claims with data he responded with attacks and it's been that way ever since. Read the history book.
If Ion were so *godknowswhat* perfect he would be King of the World rather than wandering through life as a run of the mill megalomaniac wannabe.
From: Ion Saliu
Subject: Re: Super online lottery odds probability calculator
Andrew:
Nicely done, the castle metaphor!
Yes, you and others may say that a bunch of guys here hate me intensely. There is a subtlety here, however. Those who appear bitter enemies of mine used to be bitter enemies to one another! They are a bunch of happy friends now! I have this skill to turn bitter foes into friends, while turning them into my fierce foes.
Not long ago, Gerry Boozdoogahn (Psycosama John Griffin) and Joytsar Taxnut (Kokostirk now) were fierce enemies. The same between Gerry Boozdoogahn and gARY mOUSE and Paul Pulicker, etc. Now they are a happy bunch because of me. You can add to the bunch the likes of Druncan/Paralelsus (Karaklonchah), Gail Perkis (Kotokoduck now). They became the sweetest of friends, while turning into my fiercest foes.
I am proud of it. I have done that in many places, at many times in my life. I know where I don't belong. I bring harmony to where I don't belong, while attracting resentment and hate. I can go away easily to where I belong.
I was rewarded for this talent of mine not long ago. The Netizenship Awards Site honored me with The Angel of Friendship award. The chairman, Netizen Tabaki Paravicius, even advanced the idea that my next duty of honor should be the Middle East. He stated that I should be able to bring not only peace, but also true friendship between the Israelis and the Palestinians. Then, I would go to the Indian Subcontinent. I would attract the reciprocal hatred of the foes and thusly they would become lips-kissing friends...
I hope you'll read also my reply to Nicolas Garcia Barkez in his latest lotto probability and strategy thread.
I wish you the best of luck, old chap!
Ion Saliu
(So people don't have to search at Google on Ion Saliu. They can go directly to the source.)
"The foolish man, the silly woman,
the infatuated child draw beverage
from the swamp, when crystalline water
is aplenty in the rock nearby."
(Tladouque, "Steps to Maya Pyramid")
From: Svitser Tilley
Date: Fri, 6 Jun 2003 20:01:41 +0100
The odds calculated for horse races.
The odds in horseracing, 8 horses in the race:
- to win probability (top 1) = 1 in 8
- exacta probability (top 2) = 1 in 56
- trifecta probability (top 3) = 1 in 336
- superfecta probability (top 4) = 1 in 1680
- quinfecta probability (top 5) = 1 in 6720
Hi, would like to define odds as in odds calculated for horse races. What you have here are not odds as such.
Furthermore all horses don't have an equal chance in each race so how does the above take this into account? I am happy that you program is capable of dealing with Keno and roulette but horse racing ain't the same.
From Ion Saliu
I am referring to odds as the more popular term for probability, expressed as '1 in N' (favorable odds!). My online odds calculator expressly prints:
- to win probability (top 1) = 1 in 8 (i.e. probability, not payout!)
You are referring to odds as payouts. What they post odds at horseracing tracks refer to potential payouts; the payouts vary wildly, from the morning line until post time. It is a subjective quantity.
Here is a tip. Play to win randomly. Forget about 6-horse races! Better still, keep records of races with 12+ horses. Generate random numbers using MDIEditor and Lotto, or any random number generator. In MDI: The biggest number=number of horses in the race; numbers per combination=1. You can select the first number generated, or the last number generated.
Don't play them for a few races. More often than not, your random numbers will not hit immediately, or in the next few races. But they'll hit! The advantage of random picks is the payout (what you referred to as odds). Randomness will give you better paying horses. What's the big deal of winning 1 to 1 or 2 to 1?
Ion Saliu
"Thus even money shots win about 49% of the time 4/1 shots about 18% of the time."
No, Steve. That never, ever happens: "49% of the time". It would be too good to be true. Horseracing would be too easy to win. In my testing, the 'to win according to the crowd' has never been reached 40%. Visitors to my website recorded more races.
Their result for to win according to the crowd has never been better than 33%. 1 in 3 may be appealing; but it's not appealing money-wise. Besides, you cannot establish who number 1 is before post time. It changes up to the last second! At Kentucky Derby, the favorite wins no better than a coin toss landing on the edge! Something like that, you get the point!
If you play randomly as I presented, you will cover big shots equally to non-shots. Overall, you'll win regardless of the tote. The tote-that's the main point, will not influence you.
I posted at my website the predictions for Belmont 2001. It was a sweep! But the payouts, therefore the winnings were a misery! I no longer play that way. I no longer post predictions. I don't even bother about races with fewer than 12 horses! Money is not in races of fewer than 12 horses!
"If you play randomly as I presented, you will cover big shots equally to non-shots. Overall, you'll win regardless of the tote. The tote-that's the main point, will not influence you."
Fascinating. Do you have any form of evidence for this or perhaps a proof?
Steve Tilley
The best proof: Horse Racing, Horse Betting Systems: Horse Trifectas, Exactas Software.
Resources in Theory of Probability, Mathematics, Statistics, Combinatorics, Software
See a comprehensive directory of the pages and materials on the subject of theory of probability, mathematics, statistics, combinatorics, plus software.
Read also similar casino reactions towards yours truly, and gambling mathematics in general:
Home | Search | Help | New Writings | Software | Odds, Generator | Contents | Forums | Sitemap