Martingale Pick-3, Anyone?
Flawed Lottery Systems by Steve Player

Posted by BigJer on July 20, 2000.

In Reply to: Martingale Pick-3 Lottery, Anyone? posted by Ion Saliu on July 19, 2000.

Thanks Ion,
I saw that in the banner ad the was on the USA Today lottery results page and also that
there was just a minor note about having to pick ONE digit for his system to work but
as any one who plays pick three knows the one digit can be very hard to do if your
whole system depends on it , that is why I like to play boxed back ups on any thing that I play straight.
It looks to me like road to riun to use a system that costs that much to play
BigJer

: • BigJer posted a while ago asking if I had heard of “Steve Player”. Later, I saw in rec.gambling.lottery a thread on “Steve Player’s pick-3 system”. I think I got it right. The foundation of such a lotto system is choosing one digit in the pick-3 game. Something like a favorite digit. I put the “system” to a test using LotWon lottery software.

I ran POWER-3 without any filters. I pressed N to all the 7 prompt screens. Then I selected the option “1 favorite digit”. The program always generates 271 combinations with one favorite lottery digit. Now, you are supposed to play all those 271 combinations. Let’s say we play them for $1 each. The cost; $271. If we win the first time, we make a profit of $500 - $271 = $229. But what guarantees you get the “fixed” digit right from the first try? Let’s use here the fundamental formula of gambling (FFG). The probability p = 271/1000 = 0.271. In order to have a 50% degree of certainty (DC) that we pick the right digit we need 2.2 tries (drawings).

That is, there is a 50% chance we will lose more than 2 drawings in a row. Since we lost our first drawing, only a Martingale will recuperate the loss AND offer a profit. Now, the 2nd drawing, we double the amount: $271 x 2 = $542. We already lost $271, so the total cost is now $813. We played $2 a ticket, so the win will be $1,000. Profit: $187 over a period of 2 days; profit per day: $93.5. What happens if we lose 3 days in a row? We must play now $4 per ticket: $271 x 4 = $1,084. We add to this amount what we lost the previous 2 days. Total cost: $1,897. The win will be $2,000, the profit $103 or $34.34 daily profit. It is very plausible to lose one more time. The Martingale will be 8 x $271 = $2,168. Total cost for 4 drawings: $4,065. The win will be 8 x $500 = $4,000. From this point on, we always lose, even if we hit the winning combination! So, a power-2 Martingale is not sufficient to apply this “lottery system”. We probably need to apply a power-3 Martingale: 1-3-9-2.

An editor's note - 2007

Ion Saliu

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Comments:
: Martingale Pick-3: Steve Player Lottery Fraud. The program always generates 271 lottery combinations with one favorite digit. Now, you are supposed to play all those 271 combinations. Let’s say we play them for $1 each. The cost; $271. If we win the first time, we make a profit of $500 - $271 = $229. But what guarantees you get the “fixed” digit right from the first try? Let’s use here the fundamental formula of gambling (FFG). The probability p = 271/1000 = 0.271. In order to have a 50% degree of certainty (DC) that we pick the right lottery digit we need 2.2 tries (drawings). That is, there is a 50% chance we will lose more than 2 drawings in a row. Since we lost our first drawing, only a Martingale will recuperate the loss AND offer a profit. Now, the 2nd drawing, we double the amount: $271 x 2 = $542. We already lost $271, so the total cost is now $813. We played $2 a ticket, so the win will be $1,000. Profit: $187 over a period of 2 days; profit per day: $93.5. What happens if we lose 3 days in a row? We must play now $4 per lotto ticket: $271 x 4 = $1,084. We add to this amount what we lost the previous 2 days. Total cost: $1,897. The win will be $2,000, the profit $103 or $34.34 daily profit. It is very plausible to lose one more time. The Martingale will be 8 x $271 = $2,168. From this point on, we always lose, even if we hit the winning lottery combination! So, a power-2 Martingale is not sufficient to apply this “system”. We probably need to apply a power-3 Martingale: 1-3-9-27. And it is possible to lose many more times in a row. Can you say the 10th step of a power-3 martingale multiplied by 271? One must be a millionaire first before winning a few hundred dollars at pick-3. Look at this real sample from Pennsylvania lottery. I am not suggesting an improving of this lottery system. Maybe some might suggest using my lotto software to pick the right digit. I demonstrated on saliu.com/LottoWin.htm (“Winning Lottery Strategy”) that the pick-3 digits repeat according to FFG. Basically, a pick-3 digit will repeat, in at least 50% of the cases, within 2 drawings. That is, the chance is 50% that a digit will skip 0, 1, or 2 drawings between hits. For some digits, the median skip is 1. I wonder how such lottery systems come to life. I can’t believe such a lack of honesty! And some put so hard on me, as if accusing me for being honest! I never, ever tried to cheat people with my lotto software. I put all my knowledge into it. Isn’t my software HONESTLY and scientifically closer to winning the lottery than anything else? I firmly believe so, and that’s why my lotto software and this website are alive. My lottery software presents also some difficulties in usage. But you don’t even imagine that what I use is even more complicated. For starters, I use special software that creates the winning reports for “fixed” data files. The additional 4 “fixed” files are never changing. Then I run the combination generator with the real data file, get an output file, purge it against the first fixed file, get a 2nd output file, purge it against the 2nd fixed file, etc., etc. Title: Flawed, Fraudulent Pick-3 Lottery Systems by Steve Player. The lottery systems, lotto systems offered by Steve Player are big-time fraud, scam and even piracy. 'Steve Player' is the front-end for a group of scammers – believed to be lottery system developers. Read Ion Saliu's take on lottery, lotto, system, systems, software for pick 3, fraud. Beware of scam, rip-off, fraudulent, flawed systems, Steve Player, Martingale, Lotto World Magazine, scammers.