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American Football (NFL) Results - Week 7, Prognostication Week #8

By Ion Saliu, Odds–Maker At-Large

Free American Football, NFL Results, Predict, Predictions, Scores Week.

Written on October 30, 2001 — and later.

• The results of week #7 in NFL compared to the prognostication of SPORTS.XLS:

9 correct and 5 wrong; 64% correctness ratio.
As I said before, the expected correctness rate is around 2 out of 3 games.
I used incorrect data for one game, however: EAGLES – RAIDERS. I failed to input one win on the road for the Raiders (23-18 at Colts). The “final predicted score” should read 22.8 – 22.3 (Eagles by 0.5, not by 3.0). This game was also an anomaly in the sense that the Raiders had the advantage in the “win” category: 4 to 2! That's because perform worse at home than on the road! It's the kind of game that's no-no from a pro football betting perspective. Unless, of course, the savvy player uses more sophisticated parameters…

I present now the prognostication of SPORTS.XLS for NFL week 8. This time I include the “wins” parameters as well. How to interpret a line (for those not so savvy in this matter):


Home1      Visitor2    1    2   Points1   Points2     Prognostication

Steelers   Ravens      5    1     23.6      11.9      Steels by 11.7

The home team is designated as “1”, the visiting football team as “2”. In the case above, Steelers is “team 1”, Ravens is “team 2”. “Team 1” is favored '5 to 1' in the “wins” category. In other words, 'the odds in favor of a Steelers win are 5 to 1'. Of course, 'the odds against a Steelers win are 1 to 5'.
In the “final predicted score” category: Steelers 23.6, Ravens 11.9 (Steelers by 11.7).

A most curious game is :


Home1      Visitor2    1    2   Points1   Points2     Prognostication

Redskins   Seahawks    3    3     19.5      19.5      Undecided

It is very rare to find a totally equitable game, such as this one. Since a “tie” is also very rare in the NFL, I preferred the term “undecided”. This game is a perfect coin toss…


4-Nov-01


Home1      Visitor2    1    2   Points1   Points2     Prognostication

Titans     Jaguars     3    1     24.0      22.8      Titans by 1.2
Steelers   Ravens      5    1     23.6      11.9      Steels by 11.7
Dolphins   Panthers    5    1     21.8      14.8      Dolphs by 7
Giants     Cowboys     4    1     25.8      15.1      Giants by 10.7
Falcons    Patriots    4    3     23.7      22.0      Falcs by 1.7
Packers    Bucs        5    1     25.5      13.8      Packs by 11.7
Bears      Browns      4    1     21.6      18.5      Bears by 3.1
Cardinals  Eagles      1    4     12.2      23.9      Eagles by 11.7
49ers      Lions       5    1     24.8      17.2      49ers by 7.5
Bills      Colts       1    5     23.5      29.8      Colts by 6.3
Chargers   Chiefs      6    1     23.5      17.5      Charges by 8
Redskins   Seahawks    3    3     19.5      19.5      Undecided
Saints     Jets        1    4     18.8      19.6      Jets by 0.6
Raiders    Broncos     4    1     29.5      20.3      Raiders by 9.2

There is nothing I can do for you, bookies! Nor can I do anything for pay-for sports betting services. A simple spreadsheet is, at least, as effective as the mountain of (not so necessary) data the pay-for betting services offer. Something else is unfair. They never thanked me for SPORTS.XLS!

Read a detailed analysis of the performance of SPORTS.XLS Excel spreadsheet and how to take advantage of the sports betting spreadsheet:
• Analysis of the results of SPORTS.XLS, the sports betting spreadsheet.

Get American Football, NFL Results & Predictions Week, Point Spread, Real Scores.

• The excitement is higher when it's hard to predict the results. The NFL 2002 season offers great excitement. Valid for college football, too. There are no favorites! Or, every team has a good shot at winning any game, against anybody! Looks like the stats play a minor role. That's not exactly true! The results still follow the stats, within statistical limits, of course. What the pro football fans and especially the bettors see is the discrepancy between the betting lines and the actual results. The betting lines try hard to ignore the randomness. I use in-house sports betting software. It is founded on the same principles as LotWon. Therefore, randomness plays a very important rule in generating combinations. The programs are applicable to parlays. The 5-team parlay software is clearly more successful than the statistical betting spreadsheet!

Here are some useful sports links. They offer schedules, betting lines, odds, results, and useful information. Things can change dramatically on the Internet. You may need to copy-and-paste the addresses, or google the essential keywords.

sports.dbc.com/cgi-bin/htx.exe/pastscores/files/pastscores.html - Scores & Odds Archive.
www.nss.net/SCORES/ - Sports Betting, Gambling, Handicapping, Live Lines.
www.vegasinsider.com - VegasInsider.com.
www.repole.com/sun4cast/ - Sunshine Forecast Historical Score Request Form.

espn.go.com - ESPN.com- the #1 sports web site in the world.
cbs.sportsline.com - CBS.SportsLine.com – the website of CBS Sports.
NFL.com – the official site of the National Football League.

American Football, NFL, Odds, Betting Lines, Predictictions, Results.

Predictictions for American Football, NFL, Odds, Betting Lines.

Resources in Sports Betting: Theory, Mathematics, Excel Spreadsheet, Systems, Parlays.
See a comprehensive directory of the pages and materials on the subject of sports betting, software, systems, and parlays.

Winning at sports betting, soccer, football, parlay, bet systems, software.

Analysis of the results of SPORTS.XLS, the sports betting spreadsheet.

The Winning Combinations Come Predominantly From Inside The FFG Median Bell.

Caveats in Theory of Probability.

NFL National Football League Games: Schedule, Results, Scores.
~ This page presents the schedule and game results (scores) in the current NFL season.

Free Sports Betting Software.

American Football, NFL Results Week, Predict, Predictions Next Week, Point Spread.

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Comments:
: : American Football NFL Results Week, Predictions Next Week. I used incorrect data for one NFL game, however: EAGLES – RAIDERS. I failed to input one win on the road for the Raiders (23-18 at Colts). The final predicted score should read 22.8 – 22.3 (Eagles by 0.5, not by 3.0). This game was also an anomaly in the sense that the Raiders had the advantage in the "win" category: 4 to 2! I present now the prognostication of SPORTS.XLS for NFL football week 8. This time I include the "wins" parameters as well. How to interpret a line (for those not so savvy in this matter): Home1 Visitor2 1 2 Points1 Points2 Prognostication Steelers Ravens 5 1 23.6 11.9 Steels by 11.7 points. The home football team is designated as "1", the visiting team as "2". In the case above, Steelers is "team 1", Ravens is "team 2". "Team 1" is favored '5 to 1' in the "wins" category. In other words, 'the odds in favor of a Steelers win are 5 to 1'. Of course, 'the odds against a Steelers win are 1 to 5'. In the "final predicted score" category: Steelers 23.6, Ravens 11.9 (Steelers by 11.7 points). A most curious game is : Home1 Visitor2 1 2 Points1 Points2 Prediction: Redskins Seahawks 3 3 19.5 19.5 Undecided. It is very rare to find a totally equitable NFL game, such as this one. Since a "tie" is also very rare in the NFL, I preferred the term "undecided". This game is a perfect coin toss… Home1 Visitor2 1 2 Points1 Points2 Predictions: Titans Jaguars 3 1 24.0 22.8 Titans by 1.2 point. Steelers Ravens 5 1 23.6 11.9 Steels by 11.7 Dolphins Panthers 5 1 21.8 14.8 Dolphins by 7 points. Giants Cowboys 4 1 25.8 15.1 Giants by 10.7 Falcons Patriots 4 3 23.7 22.0 Falcs by 1.7 Packers Bucs 5 1 25.5 13.8 Packs by 11.7 points. Bears Browns 4 1 21.6 18.5 Bears by 3.1 Cardinals Eagles 1 4 12.2 23.9 Eagles by 11.7. 49ers Lions 5 1 24.8 17.2 49ers by 7.5 Bills Colts 1 5 23.5 29.8 Colts by 6.3 Chargers Chiefs 6 1 23.5 17.5 Charges by 8 Redskins Seahawks 3 3 19.5 19.5 Undecided points. Saints Jets 1 4 18.8 19.6 Jets by 0.6; Raiders Broncos 4 1 29.5 20.3 Raiders by 9.2. There is nothing I can do for you, bookies! Nor can I do anything for pay-for sports betting services. A simple spreadsheet is, at least, as effective as the mountain of (not so necessary) data the pay-for betting services offer. Something else is unfair. They never thanked me for SPORTS.XLS, the football betting spreadsheet! Read "American Football, NFL Results Week, Scores, Predict Predictions Next Week, Point Spread". Home Visitor 1 2 Points Points Bet Results, Scores: Titans Jaguars 3 1 24.0 22.8 Titans by 1.2. Steelers Ravens 5 1 23.6 11.9 Steelers by 11.7. Dolphins Panthers 5 1 21.8 14.8 Dolphins by 7 . Giants Cowboys 4 1 25.8 15.1 Giants by 10.7. Falcons Patriots 4 3 23.7 22.0 Falcons by 1.7. Packers Bucs 5 1 25.5 13.8 Packers by 11.7; Score: 21-20. Bears Browns 4 1 21.6 18.5 Bears by 3.1; result: 27-21. Cardinals Eagles 1 4 12.2 23.9 Eagles by 11.7. 49ers Lions 5 1 24.8 17.2 49ers by 7.5; scores: 21-13. Bills Colts 1 5 23.5 29.8 Colts by 6.3; Score: 14-30 Y Chargers Chiefs 6 1 23.5 17.5 Chargers by 8. Redskins Seahawks 3 3 19.5 19.5 Undecided Score 27-14. Saints Jets 1 4 18.8 19.6 Jets by 0.8; results: 9-16. Raiders Broncos 4 1 29.5 20.3 Raiders by 9.2. Even the guy who picks for Fox NFL Sports picked that football week game as the upset. The fact is, both teams are in the same situation as last year. They play better on the road than at home. These are the main pages dealing with winning sports betting systems strategies and software. There is also a working spreadsheet, where the final calculations are done for real results. In addition, Saints has shown clear unpredictability. I keep also record of the surprise-ability factor. Surprise, surprises, upset, upsets, the underdog beating the favorite. Ion Saliu on "Results: American College, Professional, Football, NFL, Results, scores Week." These are the main pages dealing with winning sports betting systems strategies and software. Download a truckload of gambling freeware from the football betting software site. Primer: winning sports betting, soccer, football, parlay, bet systems, software. Related: Sports Prognosticating or Betting. Related: Sports betting soccer: results, tips, law. American Football (NFL) Prognosticating or Betting Software: BETUS, AMBET. Re: Betus. BETUS.EXE - Sports betting, the American way. American Football (NFL) Results - Week #8. American Football (NFL) Results - Week 7, Prognostication Week #8. American Football (NFL) Prognosticating or Betting - Week 7. BELLBET.EXE – Generate combinations inside the bell (Gauss) curve), around the median. Only Cyber Sports Betting May Be Fair. Combination-generator for sports betting. 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