I. Introduction To Horse Racing
II. Gambling Mathematics, Theory Of Probability Applied To Horse Racing
III. The Best Software To Tackle Horse Racing
IV. Unique Analysis Of Horse Racing At Horse-Racing Tracks In US And Canada
V. Ion Saliu's Gambling Theory & Software Compared to Other Horse Racing Gambling Methods
VI. Horse Racing Links and Resources at WWW.Saliu.Com & Other Web Sites
1. Introductory Notes To Horse Racing (Horseracing OK)
Consider this your start on the way to win consistently at the horse races. The strategies and systems presented here deal with horseracing from two perspectives:
1) a form of digit lottery (pick-3 and pick-4);
2) a form of sports betting.
On one hand, we hear strongly negative opinions on the probability of winning consistently at the horse tracks. Summarize: the player will lose no matter what gambling or betting system he/she uses. Nobody can predict the finisher, let alone the top three finishers, unless the race is fixed or rigged or mob-controlled! On the other hand, there are hilariously positive opinions and systems to win at any horse race! "100% guaranteed to win any horse race in the world!"
2. Gambling Mathematics, Theory Of Probability Applied To Horse Racing (Or Horse-racing)
Horseracing as a form of gambling is a very complex phenomenon ruled by theory of probability. This web site offers plenty of information on theory of probability, theory of games, and gambling mathematics. Nothing comes even close to this website. Mathematics of horseracing as digit lottery is extensively analyzed here. The cornerstone is the Fundamental Formula of Gambling (FFG). Let's consider the betting known as trifecta. It requires picking the top three finishers in a race. They use various names in various parts of the horseracing world. A player can bet trifecta straight (the top three finishers in exact order) or boxed trifecta (the top 3 finishers regardless of order). The names of the horses have no significance in this betting system.
The horses receive numbers, very much like in a pick-3 or pick-4 lottery. Usually the horse numbers represent the post positions. It is a mathematical fact that every pick-3, pick 4, digit lottery number has a repeat cycle based on FFG. For example, in 51% of the wins, an individual pick-3 digit repeats after 3 draws. This is also true for a horse race consisting of 10 horses. This represents one simple, the simplest winning system at horse racing in the manner of the pick-3 digit lottery. Look at this simple but undeniable pick3 idea. You only look at the last 3 races in your of the respective track. You choose at random any 3 unique numbers (representing horses). The winning probability increases almost 5 times. (0.51 / 3) ^ 3 = 0.0049 or '1 in 204'. The main lotto and lottery strategy page offers several winning systems, all free, all more powerful than this simple idea. There are also many, many messages that deal with winning at horse races in the manner of pick-3, pick 4, digit lottery.
Horseracing can also be treated as a pick-4 lottery, if the top four finishers are considered. The bet is known as superfecta at the U.S. horseracing tracks. Superfecta is offered more rarely than other wagers, but it can pay huge amounts of money. I remember superfecta paid one day $45,000 at Santa Anita, California. And trifecta paid $11,000 at the same track (different days).
3. The Best Software (Freeware!) To Tackle Horse Racing (Horseracing OK)
The software package that deals with horseracing in the manner of pick-3 lottery is named LOTWONH.EXE. It is available as freeware at the software download site. It is recommended to study the tutorial of this package in conjunction with the tutorial for the pick-3 lottery package (LOTWON3). You can read some of my messages on horseracing. They show how my horseracing software fared at the Triple Crown races. LotWon was perfect at Belmont 2001: the win, exacta, and trifecta, all straight!
• The results at Belmont Stakes 2001:
9 Point Given
8 A P Valentine
5 Monarchos
The winning trifecta 9-8-5 was predicted straight by LotWon (combination #2). Also, the winning horse (#9) was predicted twice. The payouts were disappointing, however. $47 for the two win tickets, plus $38 for the $1 trifecta. A total of $85 in winnings, against $64 in total cost. As I said previously:
"That's the drawback of horseracing. You have to go through long streaks of meager winnings until long-shot trifectas hit…"
• • You can also deal with horseracing from the sports betting perspective. You can bet on the winner of a horse race, for example. I analyzed several horseracing tracks in the U.S. I think the bettors pick the winner correctly in around 45% of the races. Thus, if you go with the crowd, you may be successful almost like at the roulette table (even money) or blackjack. The payout is not constant, however. Sometimes, you may be disappointed when you win: the payout could be less than even money! You need to track (pun not intended) many consecutive races at the same facility. If the crowd missed the winner 5 or more races in a row, it is best to bet on the crowd favorite from that point on. If still failing to pick the winner, increase the bet in future races. In most cases, the betting crowd picks the winner in consecutive races, or skipping just one race, or skipping just two races. This betting method requires a lot of attention and patience. It makes more sense to play trifectas as generated by LotWonH (the combination generator is named HORSES.EXE). My favorite method is to generate long-shot trifectas. They can pay big amounts, albeit rarely.
The end of this page shows the links to follow. Please do check the web pages of this site dedicated to pick-3, pick 4, digit lottery winning strategies. You will see how mathematics can get “involved” in games such as pick-3, pick 4, digit lottery and horseraces. I offer several free systems and tons of free software to play and win. The list of my gambling, lotto and lottery freeware is so long, that I can't afford to put it on this startup page. Check the FTP download site for all that's available for free.
4. Analysis Of Horse Racing At Real Horse-racing Tracks In US And Canada; Payouts For To-Win, Exactas, Trifectas
The following real-life data deals with 'to win', exacta, and trifecta betting at horse racing tracks across United States and Canada on Sunday, October 5, 2003. (Some tracks, especially Canadian, use the terms exactor for 'top 2 finishers' and triactor for 'top 3 finishers'.) A number of 236 races offered the trifecta wager. A number of 275 races offered the exacta wager. One track (El Comandante) was excluded, for always paying insignificant amounts ($3.95 for a trifecta???).
All payoffs are for a $2 bet.
Total trifectas (triactors): 236
Total amount paid for trifectas (triactors): $170,396.35
AVERAGE trifecta (triactor) payout: $722
Standard deviation: 2349.25
Minimum trifecta (triactor) payoff: $17.80
Median trifecta (triactor) payoff: $221
Maximum trifecta (triactor) payoff: $26,914 (Belmont Park).
Total exactas (exactors): 275
Total amount paid for exactas (exactors): $24,706
AVERAGE exacta (exactor) payout: $96.13
Standard deviation: 271.22
Minimum exacta (exactor) payoff: $3.80
Median exacta (exactor) payoff: $221
Maximum exacta (exactor) payoff: $3,826 (Belmont Park)
Total 'to win' races: 272
Total amount paid for 'to win': $3,076.3
AVERAGE 'to win' payout: $11.31
Standard deviation: 10.23
Minimum 'to win' payoff: $2.30
Median 'to win' payoff: $8
Maximum 'to win' payoff: $69.30.
Interesting statistics for the favorite horses, as in the 'betting choice'. The favorites won 103 races out of 272 or 37.87% of the time. Most wins of the favorite horses come in small races (6 or fewer horses). The payouts were significantly lower.
Total 'to win' races with the favorites winning: 103
Total amount paid for 'to win' with the favorites winning: $475.70
AVERAGE 'to win' payout with the favorites winning: $4.62
Standard deviation with the favorites winning: 1.35
Minimum 'to win' payoff with the favorite winning: $2.30
Median 'to win' payoff with the favorite winning: $5
Maximum 'to win' payoff with the favorite winning: $8.40.
The non-favorites won 169 races out of 272 or 62.13% of the time. The payouts were significantly higher.
Total 'to win' races with the non-favorites winning: 169
Total amount paid for 'to win' with the non-favorites winning: $2,600.60
AVERAGE 'to win' payout with the non-favorites winning: $15.39
Standard deviation with the non-favorites winning: 11.11
Minimum 'to win' payoff with the non-favorite winning: $4.20
Median 'to win' payoff with the non-favorite winning: $11
Maximum 'to win' payoff with the non-favorite winning: $69.30.
The morale? Randomness is Almighty; handicapping is variety (show, that is)!
More proof of randomness? How about the killer payouts at the Kentucky Derby 2005? 
"TV Sports, Ratings, Drama, Tragedy - even at Kentucky Derby 2005".
5. Ion Saliu's Gambling Theory & Software Compared to Other Gambling Methods
My gambling theory, including horse racing, is founded on mathematics, specifically the Fundamental Formula of Gambling (FFG). Also, everything I set out in my software must be validated mathematically to the best of my knowledge.
In all honesty, I don't see anything out there that offers better ways to winning at gambling or horse racing, in particular. I wish there was something easier and more efficient than my approach. Ain't nothing, honestly. IF my casino gambling methodology doesn't win the — there is absolutely nothing to accomplish such daunting tasks. Never will be, if my research has been futile. Never mind that they will continue to put huge efforts in playing the stock market or predicting the weather. The latter two phenomena are equally random to horse racing gambling or casino gambling. They have some advantages, but horse racing gambling has its advantages as well. In the end, it's all about streaks and skips, no matter what the phenomenon is. The skips (misses) are shorter and the streaks are longer if the probability is higher; and vice versa.
The rest of the horse racing gambling theory is nothing more than gut feeling. I have a hunch that that horse is going to win! I got also insider information… Rigged, you know… So, right now, I cannot see any casino gambling approach better than mine. That's the only way, like my gambling theory and software do: Track the winning and the losing streaks and their corresponding skips (misses). There are some no playing moments (or play the minimum bet); other situations demand a higher bet. It is hard work, but nothing else works better.
6. Horse Racing Links and Resources at Saliu.Com & Other Web Sites
This website also offers the best tools to calculate various odds in horse racing and generate any type of horseracing combinations. Moreover, the tools are absolutely free to download and use.
~ To calculate the odds: use the online calculator & combination-number generator.
~ Use also PermuteCombine.EXE, the complete generator of any type of sets (numbers, or words/names); download it from the free FTP downloads site. The option applicable to horses is Arrangements {N * (N-1) * (N-2) * (N-M + 1)}. The program shows first the total number of possible combinations for the two horseracing parameters. For example, superfectas for 10 horses: total possible combinations = 5040; the program then generates the superfectas (1-2-3-4; 1-2-4-3, etc.).
~ To generate horseracing combinations, from one winner ('win'), 'two winners' (exactas, exactors), 'three top finishers' (trifectas, triactors), to superfectas (top four finishers), to any number of horses per combination: use PermuteCombine.EXE (the 'Arrangements' option).
~ To generate horseracing combinations, inside the FFG median bell, use BellCurveGenerator.EXE (the 'Horse Racing' option). The program had three hits in a single day in test drive in horseracing tracks across USA and Canada. The sports betting option also had the winning combinations from inside the FFG median bell 7 times out the first nine weeks in the NFL.
A web site with excellent horse racing information is Equibase: www.equibase.com.
Said Tabaki Paravicius, netizen extraordinaire:
You ain't heard nothing quite like it, Barban! The loser without a win is like the wagon without a horse: The clouds will shade, the sun will blade, the rain will degrade, the snow will fade — out.
Doctor in Occult Science of Horse Whispering
Check out also:
Resources in Horseracing: Theory, Software, Systems, Trifectas.
Lists the main pages on the subject of horseracing, software (trifectas), and systems.
Updates to the Bright lotto, lottery, and horseracing software bundles.
Updates to several Bright software packages: pick-3 and pick-4 lotteries, horseracing, 5- and 6-number lotto games.
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