Posted by Ion Saliu on March 07, 2001.
• There is an unselect group of computing beasts who keep their heads in the grass. Their desire is to see me stop my activities, idealistic and realistic endeavors. They are using all kinds of snaky tactics in their pathetic attempts: threats, intimidation, intimidation of my guests, curses… You get the picture. I do not hesitate to bitch, and bastard, and butt-kick the unselect bunch. I have no choice. It is a requirement of the ubiquitous FearSurvival system. Any time I meet a no-real-name, I must consider it a candidate for the above unselect bunch. Do I feel remorse? Absolutely not. Every kind of computing beast has a specific message-getting receptor. It has worked quite efficiently for this website. Honest websites have been closed of because of a few bullish idiots. There were attempts to bring this very site to the same closure. No way. I am not asleep and I am not alone. My sometimes-harsh words have done the job.
Shortly, to the troublesome passage in your post. I thought you were living in the Taliban Desert:
“Although your statement is true, you should read up on the "right to refuse service to anyone" clause of any business establishment in Nevada. This also applies to casinos, and trust me... is used EACH AND EVERY DAY to remove suspicious people from our realm. “
My only answer here, to you and anyone else. Nevada is a part of the United States. The United States of America is governed by the Constitution of The United States of America. The "right to refuse service to anyone" is flagrantly against the Equal Protection Clause of the United States Constitution. Just briefly now, a private golf club in the South refused membership to a minority player. A private fast-food chain refused service to minorities. The incidents were “Equal Protection Clause” tested. That's enough. Or am I expected to legally advise the kasinos? Sooner or later, the long arm of the law will reach anywhere. The blow of the law will be even more devastating when class action suits are considered. Think of the once-mighty tobacco… I recommend to those who intend to use my systems to consider group playing. Class action suits would be more attainable.
•• Your post, actually, increased my appetite to make a terrible system…work! I am referring to the system you “presented” in your incipient post. You should have done the honorable thing and admit that it was the infamous “James Bond roulette system”. I presented previously the infamous system on this message board and also on the “Roulette” page. In Ian Fleming's Casino Royale, James Bond ALWAYS plays the first two dozens: 1-12 and 13-24. James…James Bond is quickly ahead a half million francs! Well, he hasn't a clue what theory of probability is. Nevertheless, the winning probability playing two dozens in single-zero roulette games is p=24/37=64.86%, almost 65% (63.16% for a double-zero table).
In fact, chances are good that a player can win in the first try. But playing many spins in a row gives the player the probability to lose according to the house edge. I quote now from a good publication: “The Encyclopedia of Gambling” by Carl Sifakis, page 41. “Not long ago in a German casino two young men talking in Swiss-accented German were sitting off to the side reading a French version of a James Bond novel, Casino Royale. They were, they were sure, going to beat the house at roulette. Hadn't 007 done so? … The last ten spins were 8 numbers over 24 and 2 zeroes. This meant they were out 2000 marks. Now they are doubling up on their bets and guess what came up…another zero!…”
Only a Kasino pfat-kat can recommend a system as such! (I know, Ian Fleming was not an affiliate! He only tried to make the fiction more exciting…)
Only an Anti-kasino-phat-kat can have the guts to make a fruitless system work according to mathematics. I am the one! Your regrets come too late, incipient phony-system-presenter!
Anyone can use my free software FORMULA.EXE and especially SuperFormula.EXE. It's on my hundreds-times visited “FTP Download” site. We are going to do brain surgery on the ill-fated Bond system.
We are going to make good use of the standard deviation. I ran the program for the Bondish roulette game. Here is the file FORMULA generated:
The expected (theoretical) number of successes is: 65
Based on the Normal Probability Rule:
· 68.2% of the successes will fall within 1 Standard Deviation
from 65 - i.e., between 60 - 70
·· 95.4% of the successes will fall within 2 Standard Deviations
from 65 - i.e., between 55 - 75
··· 99.7% of the successes will fall within 3 Standard Deviations
from 65 - i.e., between 50 - 80
And here is how you can mathematically improve the outcome of playing the once-phony-now-mathematical Bond roulette system. You play your very first session at the table's minimum bet. Keep a record of how many spins you play—until reaching 100. Keep a record of HOW MANY TIMES YOU WON. If you won more than 65 times, play the next 100-spin session at the same bet level. If you won less than 65 times, increase the bet level in your next session. If you still lose the second session, just increase the bet above the previous level. Chances are pretty that your sessions will fluctuate above and below the standard deviation. They don't call it such a beautiful name without a reason. By the way, if your bankroll is smaller, you can apply this system in 50-spin sessions. I have offered for free even more tools. Download also SPINS.EXE and use it as training. Generate 100-spin sessions; they are as good as real casino roulette spins. You can see how things emerge. I must stop here. I am not going to give away any more of my systems. If you don't trust my attempt to improve a venomous roulette system presented by an alleged kasino executive: Please totally disregard the ill-fated James Bond roulette joke. Best of luck to all intelligent and honest casino players! Ion Saliu
The standard deviation for an event of probability
p = .64864862
in 100 binomial experiments is:
BSD = 4.77
I would recommend a player play first in 100-spin sessions. If you are afraid of writing (hey, why, that's one of the things that differentiate us from the monkeys: we can write!), you can memorize a few numbers. If you play always two dozens/two coulumns (any two you want), you should expect 65 wins in 100 spins. In most, by far most situations, the number of your wins will not be exactly 65. (Use the option #2 in the same program to see the actual probability of EXACTLY 65 successes in 100 trials.) The number of your successes will be sometimes less than the expectation, sometimes above the expectation.
• For the best mathematical casino gambling strategy for big–time gamblers (a.k.a. kokodrilos) read:
Super Roulette Strategy Systems Now Free (applicable to craps, blackjack, and baccarat as well).
Roulette: Software, Content, Resources, Systems, Super Strategy.
See a comprehensive directory of the pages and materials on the subject of roulette, software, systems, and the Super Strategy.
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