The Atlantic City casinos record incredible winning percentages way beyond house advantage.


By Ion Saliu, Founder of Gambling Mathematics

Casino winning percentages in Atlantic City 2008 beat probability theory by wide margins.

Before doing anything in a casino, you might want to read this ASAP. They take advantage of your ignorance in gambling mathematics! They also take advantage of your social shyness. People are considered good when they demonstrate social shyness in their daily behavior. Don't be fooled by that. A few have always exploited the socially shy-behavior brutally at times.

Thusly, before you dump your hard-earned money to their stinking kitchen-sink, you better take a look at the casino winning percentages. Very importantly, keep in mind that the figures are for the casinos in Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA. That area is forced more… forcefully to abide by the Law (specifically the Constitution of the United States).

By contrast, the winning percentages must be higher in the gambling facilities of Nevada. The gamblers are under so much fear over there that they feel compelled to gamble like idiots more often than they want. That way, the gamblers over there, in the hot-sand dessert, feel they have a chance to win and also exit the Nevada casino in good physical health! Ever seen that film 21? In New Jersey, the casinos are forced by the rule of law to permit any gambler to play to his/her best ability, even if that translates to sizable losses for the house.

All winning percentages I present here are shocking to a mathematician! They are for the month of November 2008, when the world had already fallen in a deep economic hole.

How can it be, kokodrilo (nobility title for big-time gambler)? Do them freaking casinos cheat big-time? Hard to believe! People are not that fools! Cheating would have been detected by many players long ago in the brick-and-mortar casino. We should have heard of thousands of massacres in casinos by now! Many people don't take cheating lightly at heart. The low-level casino personnel (dealers, especially) would NOT agree to risk their lives for the fatcats who sign their paychecks!

One thing for sure. The gamblers are cowardly stupidiots. Many of them know that mathematics plays the essential role in gambling. Yet, they are frightened to reveal that they possess knowledge in gambling mathematics. They fear that Mr Schroder of MGM Grand (the casino sponsor of the 21 movie) would forcefully take the gambler to the backroom and torture him to near-death! Ain't so, pal! The cowards only intimidate humans! If humans wouldn't have taken intimidation too seriously, the cowardice bullidiots would have gone extinct thousands of years ago! If they ask you to follow them — after you first refused politely — just grab that chair. Hold it tight with both hands and be sure they understand you gonna use it as a means of self-defense.

There is a gambler Down Under who is intelligent and simultaneously mystical. I call him Newtron. He had chosen a nickname for the cyber world that resonated with neutron and Newton. Isaac Newton was so intelligent and also such an idiotic mystic! Thanks to the great economist John Maynard Keynes, who earned enough money from his writings in the dismal science, we were able to learn so much more about Newton and his dark side. Newton was also an alchemist and astrologer! He turned into a fanatical believer of the Bible. He "calculated" that the World would end in the year of grace 2060(?!) The CE (AD say the Christian fanatics… CE stands for Common Era) year 2060 came and went — the world has not ended! Thusly, Newton recalculated the end of the world to be the year of 2600 Anno Socrati. Of course, 2600 will come and go — and the world will still go round! Then, perhaps, Newton will recalculate again… The end is coming soon, bitchy sisters and brothers! It's gonna be 6200... Well, desperate Newton will go to 62000... 6200000... I don't think humans will reach beyond one billion. The Universe will recompress quite soon, by its terms (like a few billion years from now)…

This mate of mine from Down Under sent to me this Atlantic City casino report for November 2008. He also wants to take the US casinos head-on. He strongly believes in a self-book written by a couple of American self-help profiteers. The self-help books (the phenom started in the US of A) deserve some credit for really helping people. But, beginning 1990s, the self-help books turned into moneymaking machines for the authors! They exploited human hope. The authors of self-help materials would shout like the mostly expert sellers: "Believe and you will achieve! The sky is the limit!" Self-help turned into a weird branch of religion!

The Crocodile mate thinks he can beat the US casinos big time. He wants to play blackjack especially. He himself calls his gambling system The Voodoo Blackjack System. I told him his system had some thin mathematical foundation. Indeed, tracking the busting of the blackjack dealer can lead to positive results for the player. But the tracking must be mathematical. All gambling tracking must be dynamic: The past results DO count in anything gambling — in anything PERIOD.

That's the kind of fear the casinos want to instill in you, gambler, or would-be gambler! And that's the most scientific (truthful, therefore) explanation of those staggering winning percentages the casinos record month after month, year after year. Bad for the casinos now, though, is the current economic recession (2208, going on 2009).

Since the herd cannot be expanded, the casinos only hope in high rollers, like my mate from Australia. He believes he can expand his fortunes by knocking down the US casinos. Well… it is possible... but not with voodoo... or Newton's astrological gravity... or attraction to the gold... or Abraham's Law of Attraction (the American couple of self-help Ponzi scheme). One can beat those hideous numbers only by cool-headedly applying mathematics.

The high-rollers (HR) have courted me for years now. Problem I've had with them is mysticism and big-ego skulls. If you made huge amounts of money in your business, other than pure gambling — you was lucky. You were luckier than most gamblers (for Wall Street is the hugest casino in history). If you want to make huge money in gambling — you must be intelligent! You must be capable of grasping mathematics. Otherwise, the fortune you amassed in your lifetime would most likely go the dinosaur's way in a few days! I did turn down two Saudi oil-tycoons in the 1990s. They were not fanatics, but mathematicians they were not!

The points I make here are rarely presented in the most serious academic fashion... as in the Western civilization. Academic scares the hell out of benignly regular humans. Academic sounds like a kind of bird thrilling affordable to unseen cuckoos only. Truth is, the nineteenth century started the chiasm between highbrow cuckoos and the overwhelmingly majority of humans. That's when the unfortunate elitism term was coined. What I would say here cannot possibly represent highbrow cuckooism. It's just common sense — the fundamental function of Reason.

Anti-mathematically huge winning percentages for the online casinos are far easier to explain. Again, apply Reason as common sense knowledge. They (online casinos) started by offering potential gambling customers bonuses of 100%. The online casinos then raised the bonuses to 125%... to 135%... to 145% in 2008! Can it be true? Hey, you deposit $1000 — they automatically give you $1450! So, you fake gambling for a short while... Then you cash out! So, you could win at least $1000 in a few minutes (you could fake a few hours for better safety and credence)! NOT! You must play your entire balance of your account! Then, you realize that even hundreds of thousands of dollars would be lost in a matter of days, if not hours!

It is obvious to any person that the result of any probability experiment is a string of various streaks of various lengths. The most common are single streaks; e.g. H(eads),T(ails),H,T,H,T… There are 128 such streaks in 1024 coin tosses: 128 for heads and 128 for tails. Next, double-streaks: HH,T,H,TT… There are 64 such streaks for heads and 64 for tails. 32 triple streaks for heads and 32 for tails. HHH,T,H,TTT… 16 quadruple streaks for heads and 16 for tails. HHHH,T,H,TTTT… 8 quintuple streaks for heads and 8 for tails. HHHHH,T,H,TTTTT.

What happens here is this. Suppose Esnefed Ipsy Dawa landed in Atlantic City and plays up to five tosses (or blackjack hands), if losing previous tosses. Dawa adds to his 128 single winnings 64+32+16+8 = 120 winning tosses! Almost double! The opponent, meanwhile, loses 120 of his theoretical wins! From the perspective of the Fundamental Formula of Gambling (FFG), Ipsy Dawa's chance of winning is over 95%! Who wouldn't play such a game? The online casinos DO it (or a version of it) consistently, especially when the gambler increases the bet dramatically!

The online casinos and the electronic (chip-based gambling machines) at the brick-and-mortar casinos employ that scheme religiously. The hou' runs the random number generator up to five times in its favor (according to my data, recorded in Atlantic City). The player only gets one run of the generator.

The house gets up to five consecutive runs… selectively. If they lose, they run the generator again… up to five times. They don't need more than five runs as it is more than enuff: It means a 95% degree of certainty of winning. It never — ever — happens to the player! It has never happened to me online or in Atlantic City playing slot blackjack. Only the casino is favoured that way!

Every gambler who contacted me reported the same occurrence! C'mon, law enforcement agencies! Show me at least one exception to this absurd rule! Both the house and the humbled payer should be favored equally according to the mathematical odds! Mathematics never lies! Only humans can be liars (ESPECIALLY WHEN THEY FEEL THEY HAVE GOOD LAWYERS)!

Now, back to the brick-and-mortar gambling in the US of A. Why can the Atlantic City, New Jersey, casinos show such high winning percentages? Personally, I have a hard time believing the truthfulness of such figures. The United States, unlike other democracies, is famous for the right to transparency. Not constitutionally directly, but the US citizen has a right to inquire on transparency — the right to know. So, the figures here apply to publicly owned companies. Therefore, anybody may inquire on almost any type of corporate documents. Each and every of the 11 casinos in Atlantic City are required by law to provide you with the documents presented here.

Thusly, I can guarantee you that the figures here are no fake. The winning percentages for the casinos are 4 to 10 times higher (i.e. worse) than the mathematical probabilities (i.e. house advantage). WHY, kokodrilo?

For one, we, all gamblers, are idiots. We win and we show we are gentlemen/ladies! We TIP big when we win! Stupid thing, pal/mate/amigo! We should only tip at the end of our (gambling) life! Never, that is, that it is! The casinos (the fat-cats that own or manage casinos) should pay their employees accordingly. It's not my concern, the gambler's, to take care of other people's well-being. For they don't give a damn on my well-being! It's me first, suckers! That's the fundamental law of life. If you and I lose our money, they throw us in the streets, at the mercy of the elements. I've seen so many human wrecks in Atlantic City. Perhaps they tipped big when they won. Now, some die on the beach, under the piers.

And thus I tell you: Do NOT tip the casino dealer before just the end of your (gambling) life. That is, you never know the point in time of the end of your life. So, never — ever — tip the casino dealer. The casino fat cats must pay their people better, according to the merit. Foolish me, my tips to the poor casino dealers amounted to over 20% of my winnings! Sorry, good-looking freaking girls, you certainly deserve much more from those to whom you fork heaps of money into their ugly bellies!

  • Do not tip casino dealers — ever!

    Now, we wrote here about that unsuccessful movie 21. The casinos desperately attempted to make-believe that winning big in the casino was possible via card-counting at blackjack! NOT! I tell you: The winning percentages in AC certainly prove my point. Card-counting in the casino is not illegal, right? RIGHT! Even the idiotic-GWBush Supreme Court Justices would agree with me on that. Burden of proof: Who could possibly prove beyond reasonable doubt that a human being is counting cards at the blackjack table? None, baby! For you might dissect millions of human brains and not be able to prove counting of any kind!

  • You would be in a far better position as an anti-card-counter (or reverse card-counter) at the BJ twenty-one-blow tables!

    Most serious problems with counting cards:

  • total accuracy is a myth;
  • the mathematics of the sequence and distribution of the cards (every player and the black jack dealer have the same chance to benefit from a high/low card count, while you could be left out).

    How about those incredibly high percentages at casino games other than blackjack? I think it must be about gambling systems promoted by the casinos themselves. Most likely, 'tis about that play with the house money concept. Stupidly enough, when the players win they think they play with the house money next. That is, let it ride! If you do that: NOT, stupidiot! You always play with your own money! It is always your freaking money! Why do you think slot machines in the brick-and-mortar casinos offer the players the Bet it all? or Bet the maximum? options? They never offer options that can bring down the house!

    There is also the other side of the spectrum. They have the same right to be or not to be. You might want to read this email to yours truly: An interestingly hostile reaction from the online gambling business.

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    Read also 'Lottery, Gambling Analysis, Mathematics, Odds, House Edge, Advantage, Fraud'.

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    Casinos winning percentages in Atlantic City beat probabilities by 10 times the odds.